PESTLE Insights: Macroeconomic Outlook Report - Turkey

  • Business and Finance
  • 14 November 2019
  • 41 Pages
  • Formats:    
  • Report Code: 24WT-39

PESTLE Insights: Macroeconomic - Overview

PESTLE Insights: Macroeconomic Outlook Report - Turkey

Summary

Mining, manufacturing and utilities activity contributed 25.2% to the gross value added (GVA) in 2018, followed by financial intermediation, real estate and business activity (17.1%), and wholesale, retail and hotels (16.0%). In nominal terms, the three sectors are expected to grow by 28.7%, 13.8% and 17.1%, respectively, in 2019

The overall XU100 index exhibited an upward trend over the past year. As of November 5, 2019, the Istanbul Stock Market Index - XU100 had increased by 4.8%, compared to November 5, 2018

Five major provinces in Turkey generated around 53.4% of the country’s GDP and were home to 37.2% of the country’s population, as of 2017

FDI inflow is expected to be slow in 2019 due to unfavorable external conditions

Scope

- According to World Bank's logistics performance index (LPI), Turkey’s transport and logistic infrastructure ranking declined from 34th in 2016 to 47th in 2018 out of 160 countries.

Reasons to buy

- Macroeconomic Outlook Report identifies the potentials of the country as an investment destination by analyzing the political, economic, social, technological, legal and environmental (PESTLE) structure.
- PESTLE Insights provides 360 degree view of the economy which can be used as a strategic tool to understand the market dynamics, business potentials and direction of operations
- Along with providing the country’s snapshot, the report captures the risk factors pertaining to the macroeconomic risks, political environment, legal environment, demographic and social structure effectiveness, technology & infrastructure and natural and geographic aspects that might impact business.
- This report also highlights key clusters/cities which contribute significantly to the country GDP and population along with major companies’ presence in these areas.

Table of Contents

Table of Contents
List of Exhibits 3
Did you Know? 4
Country Highlights 5
Country Snapshot 7
PESTLE Insights 21
Political Landscape 22
Economic Landscape 23
Social Landscape 30
Technological Landscape 33
Legal Landscape 36
Environmental Landscape 37
Outlook 38
List of Figures

Exhibit 1: Turkey?s Performance in Country Risk Analysis in Comparison to East Europe, and the World Average 11

Exhibit 2: Performance Overview (Score: 1-100) 11

Exhibit 3: Broad Categories and Weights behind the Index 12

Exhibit 4: Istanbul Stock Market Index - XU100 14

Exhibit 5: Key Sectors Contribution to the Economy (2014-2021f) 15

Exhibit 6: FDI by Sector (2014-2018) and Share of FDI by Sectors (2018) 16

Exhibit 7: FDI Inflow by Country (2014-2018) and Share of FDI by Country (2018) 18

Exhibit 8: Key Infrastructure Indicators 20

Exhibit 9: Real GDP and Household Consumption Growth Rate (2014-2021f) 24

Exhibit 10: Real GDP Growth Rate Comparison (2018) 24

Exhibit 11: Export, Import and Trade Balance (2014-2021f) 25

Exhibit 12: Current Account Balance (2014-2021f) 25

Exhibit 13: Top Three Commodity Exports, % of Total Exports, 2014-2017 26

Exhibit 14: Vehicles Other than Railway or Tramway Rolling Stock, % of World Exports, 2018 26

Exhibit 15: Interest Rates (October 2012-October 2019) 28

Exhibit 16: Exchange Rate and Inflation Rate (2014-2021f) 28

Exhibit 17: Public Finance (2014-2021f) 29

Exhibit 18: General Government Debt (2014-2021f) 29

Exhibit 19: Employment/Unemployment (2014-2021f) 31

Exhibit 20: Average Annual Wages (2014-2021f) 31

Exhibit 21: Labour Cost Index (2014-2021f) 31

Exhibit 22: Rural/Urban Share in Total Population (1990,2000,2010,2020) 32

Exhibit 23: Age-group Share of Total Population (1990,2000,2010,2020) 32

Exhibit 24: Gender Split (1990,2000,2010,2020) 32

Exhibit 25: Internet Users % of Total Population, Mobile Penetration Rate and Broadband Penetration Rate, 2018e 34

Exhibit 26: Number of Patents Granted Per Million Population, 2018 35

Exhibit 27: High-technology Exports (% of Manufactured Exports) (2018) 35

Exhibit 28: Doing Business in Turkey 2020 36

Exhibit 29: Corruption Perception Index (rankings) 2018 36

Exhibit 30: CO2 Emissions (2012-2017) 37
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